Match

Los Garres vs Águilas II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia

Los GarresÁguilas II

The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Garres vs Águilas II?

Águilas II starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,580).

Los Garres win31 %
Draw28 %
Águilas II win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Águilas II have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Garres
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 29, 2025Elche(home)0-4Copa del Rey
Oct 4, 2025Manises(home)2-0Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2025Manises(away)0-2Copa del Rey
May 1, 2022Lorca Deportiva(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 22, 2022UD Caravaca(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Águilas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026UCAM Murcia II(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Mazarrón FC(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026El Palmar(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Balsicas Atlético(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026Unión Molinense(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Los Garres0.52.315/158/15
Águilas II1.60.977/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Águilas II34141010474252

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Águilas II?
The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Los Garres.
Where and when is Los Garres vs Águilas II played?
Los Garres vs Águilas II is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Los Garres and Águilas II

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