Santomera vs San Javier: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab AI model makes San Javier the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Javier wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs San Javier?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Santomera (1,684) and San Javier (1,719).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santomera vs San Javier
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
San Javier
Not enough data to predict the San Javier lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; San Javier have 4, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Algar(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Los Garres(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; San Javier score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| San Javier | 1.8 | 0.8 | 3 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santomera sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (16 points from 6 matches) and San Javier sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | San Javier | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
A question about Santomera vs San Javier?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs San Javier?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Javier the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Santomera.
- Where and when is Santomera vs San Javier played?
- Santomera vs San Javier is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Los GarresvsÁguilas II
- Oct 25, 2026SFC MinervavsEl Palmar
- Oct 25, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsAlcantarilla
- Oct 25, 2026Unión MolinensevsBala Azul
- Oct 25, 2026AlgarvsMazarrón FC
- Oct 25, 2026Balsicas AtléticovsCartagena LU II
- Oct 25, 2026Santa CruzvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Oct 25, 2026Bullas DeportivovsOlímpico Totana