Where and when is Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul played?

Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura

Unión Molinense

Bala Azul

The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Unión Molinense (1,824) and Bala Azul (1,733).

Unión Molinense win48 %

Draw27 %

Bala Azul win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Molinense
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 17, 2026	Olímpico Totana(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Yeclano II(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	SFC Minerva(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Bala Azul
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Muleño(home)	3-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Unión Molinense win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Bala Azul win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2026	Unión Molinense 2-1 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 20, 2025	Bala Azul 0-0 Unión Molinense	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Mar 9, 2025	Unión Molinense 1-1 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 27, 2024	Bala Azul 1-1 Unión Molinense	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Molinense score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unión Molinense	1.3	0.9	6	6/15	4/15
Bala Azul	1.5	1.3	6	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unión Molinense sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (59 points from 34 matches) and Bala Azul sit 11th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Unión Molinense	34	17	8	9	46	34	59
11	Bala Azul	34	7	17	10	36	36	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul?: The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Bala Azul.
Where and when is Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul played?: Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.