Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Molinense wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul?
Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,671).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Unión Molinense win, 3 draws, 0 Bala Azul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Unión Molinense 2-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Bala Azul 0-0 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Unión Molinense 1-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Bala Azul 1-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Molinense score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Molinense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Molinense sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (11 points from 6 matches) and Bala Azul sit 10th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Bala Azul | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Bala Azul.
- Where and when is Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul played?
- Unión Molinense vs Bala Azul is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Los GarresvsÁguilas II
- Oct 25, 2026SFC MinervavsEl Palmar
- Oct 25, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsAlcantarilla
- Oct 25, 2026AlgarvsMazarrón FC
- Oct 25, 2026Balsicas AtléticovsCartagena LU II
- Oct 25, 2026SantomeravsSan Javier
- Oct 25, 2026Santa CruzvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Oct 25, 2026Bullas DeportivovsOlímpico Totana