Sao Paulo vs Coritiba: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 23Kick-off on August 16, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Coritiba?
Sao Paulo and Coritiba drew 1-1 on August 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 43′Pablo MaiaSao Paulo
- 57′Tiago CóserCoritiba
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Sao Paulo win at 56%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Coritiba
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
- 9J. Calleri
- 27Victor Sá
- 8Marcos Antônio
- 10Luciano
- 29Pablo Maia
- 5R. Arboleda
- 18Wendell
- 19Lucas Ramon
- 22Domingos Duarte
- 28Newton
- 23Rafael
Coritiba
- 7J. Lavega
- 32Pedro Rocha
- 77Breno Lopes
- 19S. Gómez
- 88Fernando Sobral
- 2Tinga
- 21Thiago Santos
- 23Tiago Cóser
- 26Bruno Melo
- 55Jacy
- 1Pedro Luccas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Coritiba have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2026 | Remo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sao Paulo wins, 3 draws, 0 Coritiba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | Coritiba 0-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Sao Paulo 1-1 Coritiba | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Coritiba vs Sao Paulo on Feb 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coritiba score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Coritiba | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 9th in Serie A (42 points from 31 matches) and Coritiba sit 12th (39 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38 | 49 | 39 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Coritiba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy