Atletico-MG vs Gremio: result 3-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 23Kick-off on August 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Atletico-MG won 3-0 on August 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 19′Vitor HugoAtletico-MG
- 62′T. CuelloAtletico-MG
- 66′T. CuelloAtletico-MG
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Atletico-MG win at 53%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Atletico-MG vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 9M. Cassierra
- 17Igor Gomes
- 30Victor Hugo
- 28T. Cuello
- 21A. Franco
- 39Mamady Cisse
- 6Renan Lodi
- 14Vitor Hugo
- 4Ruan Tressoldi
- 23A. Preciado
- 22Everson
Gremio
4-1-4-1- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 9F. Amuzu
- 17Dodi
- 5J. Nardoni
- 7C. Pavón
- 8E. Noriega
- 54Pedro Gabriel
- 82Wallace
- 6Gustavo Martins
- 27Diego Caito
- 1Weverton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Gremio have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Remo(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Juventude(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico-MG wins, 0 draws, 3 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Gremio 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Atletico-MG 1-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Gremio 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Gremio 2-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atletico-MG 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Gremio vs Atletico-MG on Feb 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (47 points from 30 matches) and Gremio sit 18th (31 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 47 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy