Sao Paulo vs Gremio: result 2-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on February 12, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
Sao Paulo won 2-0 on February 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 24′Lucas MouraSao Paulo (pen.)
- 59′J. CalleriSao Paulo
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
4-3-1-2- 10Luciano
- 9J. Calleri
- 7Lucas Moura
- 8Marcos Antônio
- 94Danielzinho
- 16D. Bobadilla
- 13E. Díaz
- 35Sabino
- 28A. Franco
- 19Lucas Carvalho
- 23Rafael
Gremio
4-3-3- 9F. Amuzu
- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 21Tetê
- 8Edenílson
- 29Arthur
- 19E. Noriega
- 23Marlon
- 3Wagner Leonardo
- 2F. Balbuena
- 18João Pedro
- 1Weverton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Gremio have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Primavera SP(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Santos(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Santos(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Flamengo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-3 | Paulista - A1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Novo Hamburgo(home) | 1-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 2-4 | Gaúcho - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sao Paulo wins, 0 draws, 3 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Gremio 2-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| May 18, 2025 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sao Paulo 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 2.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Gremio | 2.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 9th in Serie A (43 points from 32 matches) and Gremio sit 17th (34 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 36 | 43 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 44 | 34 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy