Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras: result 2-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras?
Palmeiras won 2-3 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′LucianoSao Paulo
- 34′G. TapiaSao Paulo
- 70′Vitor RoquePalmeiras
- 74′J. LópezPalmeiras
- 89′R. SosaPalmeiras
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Palmeiras have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Ceara(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2025 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Santos(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2025 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Bahia(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2025 | River Plate(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2025 | River Plate(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sao Paulo win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Palmeiras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Palmeiras 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Palmeiras 1-0 Sao Paulo | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Palmeiras 0-0 Sao Paulo | Paulista - A1 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Sao Paulo 1-1 Palmeiras | Paulista - A1 |
Last archived meeting: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo on May 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Palmeiras score 1.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 0.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Palmeiras | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 13th in Serie A (27 points from 22 matches) and Palmeiras sit 1st (48 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 48 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy