Bahia vs Flamengo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Flamengo?
Bahia won 1-0 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′Willian JoséBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Flamengo have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Ceara(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Corinthians(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bahia win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Flamengo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Flamengo 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Bahia 0-2 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Flamengo 1-0 Bahia | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Bahia 0-1 Flamengo | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Flamengo 2-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Flamengo 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Flamengo score 1.7 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Flamengo | 1.7 | 0.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (34 points from 23 matches) and Flamengo sit 2nd (45 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy