Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria: result 4-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?
Vasco DA Gama won 4-3 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′Nuno MoreiraVasco DA Gama
- 26′Aitor CantalapiedraVitoria
- 34′Lucas HalterVitoria
- 52′RayanVasco DA Gama
- 68′RayanVasco DA Gama (pen.)
- 72′R. CáceresVitoria
- 90′GBVasco DA Gama
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasco DA Gama have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Vitoria have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Bahia(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Ceara(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2025 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Gremio(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vasco DA Gama win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Vitoria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Vitoria 2-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Vitoria 0-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| May 12, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Vasco DA Gama 0-3 Vitoria | Serie B |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Vitoria 0-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie B |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Vitoria 1-0 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama on May 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vasco DA Gama score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vitoria score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Vitoria | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasco DA Gama sit 19th in Serie A (22 points from 22 matches) and Vitoria sit 12th (29 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vitoria | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 29 |
| 19 | Vasco DA Gama | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy