Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes Sao Paulo the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for RB Bragantino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Sao Paulo (1,941) and RB Bragantino (1,948).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; RB Bragantino have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Coritiba(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sao Paulo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 RB Bragantino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | RB Bragantino 1-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Feb 21, 2026 | RB Bragantino 1-2 Sao Paulo | Paulista - A1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Sao Paulo 0-1 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2025 | RB Bragantino 2-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RB Bragantino 1-0 Sao Paulo | Paulista - A1 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | RB Bragantino 1-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; RB Bragantino score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| RB Bragantino | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 13th in Serie A (27 points from 22 matches) and RB Bragantino sit 8th (32 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 32 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino?
- The Footlab model makes Sao Paulo the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for RB Bragantino.
- Where and when is Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino played?
- Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.