Atletico-MG vs Vitoria: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Vitoria?
Atletico-MG won 2-1 on August 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 25′T. BorbasAtletico-MG
- 63′ReinierAtletico-MG
- 87′ErickVitoria
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Atletico-MG win at 55%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Atletico-MG vs Vitoria
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 18T. Borbas
- 27A. Minda
- 19Reinier
- 39Mamady Cisse
- 5Alexsander
- 25T. Pérez
- 36K. Pascini
- 40Vitão
- 2Natanael
- 23A. Preciado
- 1Gabriel Delfim
Vitoria
4-1-4-1- 9Alex Bruno
- 12D. Tarzia
- 95Caíque
- 8T. Pochettino
- 7Marinho
- 6E. Martínez
- 83Jamerson
- 36Luan Cândido
- 25Cacá
- 2E. Brítez
- 1Lucas Arcanjo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Vitoria have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gremio(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 4-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atletico-MG wins, 2 draws, 4 Vitoria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Vitoria 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Vitoria 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Atletico-MG 2-2 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-2 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Vitoria 4-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Vitoria 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Vitoria vs Atletico-MG on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vitoria score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Vitoria | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (47 points from 30 matches) and Vitoria sit 12th (36 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 47 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 36 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Vitoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy