RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes RB Bragantino the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Vasco DA Gama. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate RB Bragantino (1,954) and Vasco DA Gama (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Bragantino have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Vasco DA Gama have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Olimpia(away) | 4-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Santos(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Olimpia(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bahia(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 RB Bragantino win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vasco DA Gama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama 0-3 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | RB Bragantino 0-3 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama 0-2 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama 2-2 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Apr 17, 2024 | RB Bragantino 2-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama 2-1 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RB Bragantino score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vasco DA Gama score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Vasco DA Gama | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RB Bragantino sit 7th in Serie A (35 points from 23 matches) and Vasco DA Gama sit 19th (22 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 35 |
| 19 | Vasco DA Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama?
- The Footlab model makes RB Bragantino the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Vasco DA Gama.
- Where and when is RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama played?
- RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.