Match

Sassuolo vs Parma: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

SassuoloParma

The Footlab AI model makes Sassuolo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Parma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sassuolo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sassuolo vs Parma?

On Elo ratings, Sassuolo has 2,003 points and Parma 1,917.

50%27%23%
Sassuolo winDrawParma win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sassuolo vs Parma

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sassuolo

4-3-3
  1. 45A. Laurienté
  2. 94S. Esposito
  3. 10D. Berardi
  1. 18N. Matić
  2. 50D. Bakola
  3. 17Vasilije Adžić
  1. 3J. Doig
  2. 16F. Leysen
  3. 15D. Ćaleta-Car
  4. 20I. Van der Brempt
  1. 49A. Murić

Parma

3-4-2-1
  1. 23N. Elphege
  1. 14E. Valeri
  2. 15E. Del Prato
  3. 19E. Touré
  4. 16M. Keita
  5. 4V. Sierro
  6. 80G. Fabbian
  1. 37M. Troilo
  2. 34Diego Carlos
  3. 29F. Carboni
  1. 40E. Corvi

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:02 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sassuolo have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Parma have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sassuolo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026AC Milan(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 18, 2026Monza(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Juventus(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Bologna(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 2, 2026Frosinone(home)1-1Coppa Italia
Parma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Inter(away)0-3Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Genoa(home)2-1Serie A
Sep 14, 2026Como(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Monza(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 1, 2026Cremonese(home)0-2Coppa Italia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sassuolo wins, 2 draws, 2 Parma wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Parma 1-0 SassuoloSerie A
Jan 3, 2026Sassuolo 1-1 ParmaSerie A
Aug 2, 2023Parma 1-0 SassuoloFriendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2021Parma 0-3 SassuoloFriendlies Clubs
May 16, 2021Parma 1-3 SassuoloSerie A
Jan 17, 2021Sassuolo 1-1 ParmaSerie A

Last archived meeting: Parma vs Sassuolo on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sassuolo score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Parma score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sassuolo1.61.7212/1511/15
Parma0.71.526/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sassuolo sit 11th in Serie A (8 points from 6 matches) and Parma sit 18th (4 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Sassuolo622210108
18Parma61144104

A question about Sassuolo vs Parma?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sassuolo vs Parma?
The Footlab AI model makes Sassuolo the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Parma.
Where and when is Sassuolo vs Parma played?
Sassuolo vs Parma is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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