Match

AC Milan vs Como: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

AC MilanComo

The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Como. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Milan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AC Milan vs Como?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate AC Milan (2,083) and Como (2,137).

37%27%36%
AC Milan winDrawComo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AC Milan vs Como

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AC Milan

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Gonçalo Ramos
  1. 21S. Chukwueze
  2. 2P. Estupiñán
  3. 12A. Rabiot
  4. 80Y. Musah
  5. 22Diego Moreira
  6. 14L. Modrić
  1. 31S. Pavlović
  2. 34Mario Gila
  3. 5K. De Winter
  1. 16M. Maignan

Como

4-2-3-1
  1. 9T. Douvikas
  1. 10N. Paz
  2. 11Assane Diao
  3. 5M. Perrone
  4. 7L. da Cunha
  5. 20M. Baturina
  1. 4Jacobo Ramón Naveros
  2. 99T. Chalobah
  3. 27Yan Couto
  4. 16Kaiki
  1. 1J. Butez

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:38 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Como have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AC Milan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Sassuolo(away)1-1Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Lecce(home)3-0Serie A
Sep 16, 2026Benfica(home)0-2UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026Lazio(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Juventus(away)1-1Serie A
Como
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Feyenoord(away)2-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 11, 2026AS Roma(home)0-0Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Frosinone(away)0-2Serie A
Sep 14, 2026Parma(home)2-1Serie A
Sep 10, 2026RB Leipzig(home)4-1UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 AC Milan wins, 1 draw, 0 Como wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 18, 2026AC Milan 1-1 ComoSerie A
Jan 15, 2026Como 1-3 AC MilanSerie A
Mar 15, 2025AC Milan 2-1 ComoSerie A
Jan 14, 2025Como 1-2 AC MilanSerie A

Last archived meeting: AC Milan vs Como on Feb 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AC Milan score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Como score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AC Milan1.51.5210/159/15
Como1.91.1311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AC Milan sit 5th in Serie A (12 points from 6 matches) and Como sit 7th (11 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5AC Milan633011512
7Como63219611

A question about AC Milan vs Como?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AC Milan vs Como?
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Como.
Where and when is AC Milan vs Como played?
AC Milan vs Como is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AC Milan and Como

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