Torino vs Cagliari: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
The Footlab AI model makes Torino the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Cagliari. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torino wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torino vs Cagliari?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Torino (1,894) and Cagliari (1,907).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torino vs Cagliari
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torino
3-4-2-1- 18G. Simeone
- 8R. Mandragora
- 77A. Cacciamani
- 21Daniel Bragança
- 45R. Belghali
- 19C. Adams
- 28K. Fitz-Jim
- 23Saúl Coco
- 15P. Comuzzo
- 5E. Cömert
- 20Lucas Perri
Cagliari
4-3-2-1- 31P. Mendy
- 6H. Winks
- 8M. Adopo
- 4A. Romano
- 70D. Maldini
- 79Y. Massolin
- 15J. Rodríguez
- 2Zé Pedro
- 33A. Obert
- 26Y. Mina
- 1E. Caprile
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torino have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cagliari have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Monza(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Torino wins, 1 draw, 3 Cagliari wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Cagliari 2-1 Torino | Serie A |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Torino 1-2 Cagliari | Serie A |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Torino 2-0 Cagliari | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Cagliari 3-2 Torino | Serie A |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Cagliari 1-2 Torino | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Torino 0-0 Cagliari | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Torino score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cagliari score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Cagliari | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torino sit 12th in Serie A (7 points from 6 matches) and Cagliari sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Torino vs Cagliari?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torino vs Cagliari?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torino the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Cagliari.
- Where and when is Torino vs Cagliari played?
- Torino vs Cagliari is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.