Match

Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas: prediction and stats

Liga 3Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Estrela, Évora

Lusitano Évora 1911Caldas

The Footlab AI model makes Lusitano Évora 1911 the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Caldas. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas?

On Elo ratings, Lusitano Évora 1911 has 1,947 points and Caldas 1,869.

53%27%20%
Lusitano Évora 1911 winDrawCaldas win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lusitano Évora 1911

4-3-3
  1. 23Diogo Sequeira
  2. 20D. Silva
  3. 11S. A. Andrade Male
  1. 5I. Diagne
  2. 8Tiago Baptista
  3. 71Jannick Buyla
  1. 4Cassiano
  2. 37Rodrigo Monteiro
  3. 53Eurichano Carvalho
  4. 25João Pinto
  1. 22D. Martins

Caldas

4-3-3
  1. 17Goncas
  2. 9G. Chaves
  3. 77G. Pio
  1. 80M. Palmerio
  2. 5R. Correia
  3. 22T. Serrazina
  1. 3Nando
  2. 20G. Lourenco
  3. 56Caio Amaral
  4. 25L. Farinha
  1. 12D. Almeida

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 02:46 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lusitano Évora 1911 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Caldas have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lusitano Évora 1911
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026União Santarém(away)0-3Liga 3
Sep 12, 2026SC Covilha(home)2-2Liga 3
Sep 6, 2026Louletano(away)0-1Liga 3
Aug 30, 2026CF Os Belenenses(home)1-2Taça de Portugal
Aug 22, 2026Mafra(home)2-1Liga 3
Caldas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Atlético CP(away)1-4Liga 3
Sep 13, 2026Vitória de Sernache(home)2-0Liga 3
Sep 4, 2026União Santarém(away)1-0Liga 3
Aug 30, 2026Sintrense(home)1-3Taça de Portugal
Aug 23, 2026Louletano(home)2-4Liga 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Lusitano Évora 1911 win, 2 draws, 2 Caldas wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Caldas 0-0 Lusitano Évora 1911Liga 3
Mar 22, 2026Caldas 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911Liga 3
Mar 7, 2026Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 CaldasLiga 3
Jan 17, 2026Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 CaldasLiga 3
Oct 26, 2025Caldas 2-1 Lusitano Évora 1911Liga 3

Last archived meeting: Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911 on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lusitano Évora 1911 score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caldas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lusitano Évora 19111.01.128/157/15
Caldas1.01.548/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lusitano Évora 1911 sit 9th in Liga 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Caldas sit 7th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Caldas6213697
9Lusitano Évora 19116123485

A question about Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas?
The Footlab AI model makes Lusitano Évora 1911 the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Caldas.
Where and when is Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas played?
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Estrela, in the Liga 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lusitano Évora 1911 and Caldas

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