SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse: prediction and stats
KNVB Beker1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Wetering, Genemuiden
The Footlab model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for SC Genemuiden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate SC Genemuiden (1,791) and FC Lisse (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Genemuiden have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; FC Lisse have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HHC(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 2-6 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aalsmeer(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Genemuiden score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lisse score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Genemuiden | 2.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Lisse | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse?
- The Footlab model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for SC Genemuiden.
- Where and when is SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse played?
- SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse is played on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Wetering, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.