Match

HZVV vs Frisia: prediction and stats

KNVB Beker1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Bentincksdijk (HZVV), Hoogeveen

HZVVFrisia

The Footlab model makes Frisia the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for HZVV. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HZVV vs Frisia?

HZVV win38 %
Draw22 %
Frisia win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, HZVV have 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Frisia have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HZVV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 23, 2025Excelsior Maassluis(home)1-5KNVB Beker
Sep 2, 2025Aalsmeer(away)4-2KNVB Beker
Jul 2, 2024Emmen(home)0-8Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2020HHC(away)1-7Friendlies Clubs

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HZVV vs Frisia?
The Footlab model makes Frisia the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for HZVV.
Where and when is HZVV vs Frisia played?
HZVV vs Frisia is played on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Bentincksdijk (HZVV), in the KNVB Beker.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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