Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund played?

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Borussia Dortmund

The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Borussia Dortmund. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Bayer Leverkusen (2,282) and Borussia Dortmund (2,290).

Bayer Leverkusen win48 %

Draw23 %

Borussia Dortmund win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Wehen(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Newcastle(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Nottingham Forest(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sevilla(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Borussia Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bayern München(home)	1-2	Super Cup
Aug 15, 2026	AS Roma(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Arsenal(away)	3-2	Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bayer Leverkusen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Borussia Dortmund win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Dec 2, 2025	Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen	DFB Pokal
Nov 29, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
May 11, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 2-4 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Jan 10, 2025	Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Apr 21, 2024	Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen	2.4	1.0	5	9/15	12/15
Borussia Dortmund	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th in Bundesliga (59 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd (73 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	73
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund?: The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Borussia Dortmund.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund played?: Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.