Scotland U17 vs Sweden U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sweden U17 the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Scotland U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scotland U17 vs Sweden U17?
Sweden U17 starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,596 vs 1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scotland U17 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Sweden U17 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Northern Ireland U17(away) | 2-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Spain U17(away) | 0-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Turkey U17(home) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Poland U17(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Norway U17(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Montenegro U17(away) | 5-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Greece U17(home) | 2-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Norway U17(home) | 2-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Poland U17(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Estonia U17(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Scotland U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sweden U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | Sweden U17 2-0 Scotland U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| May 23, 2022 | Sweden U17 1-0 Scotland U17 | UEFA U17 Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sweden U17 vs Scotland U17 on Oct 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Scotland U17 score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sweden U17 score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland U17 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Sweden U17 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scotland U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 3 matches) and Sweden U17 sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Scotland U17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scotland U17 vs Sweden U17?
- The Footlab model makes Sweden U17 the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Scotland U17.
- Where and when is Scotland U17 vs Sweden U17 played?
- Scotland U17 vs Sweden U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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