Match

Scotland U17 vs Sweden U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Scotland U17Sweden U17

The Footlab model makes Sweden U17 the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Scotland U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Scotland U17 vs Sweden U17?

Sweden U17 starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,596 vs 1,442).

Scotland U17 win35 %
Draw23 %
Sweden U17 win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scotland U17 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Sweden U17 have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Scotland U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Northern Ireland U17(away)2-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 18, 2026Spain U17(away)0-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 15, 2026Turkey U17(home)2-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 21, 2026Poland U17(away)2-4Friendlies
Feb 18, 2026Norway U17(home)0-2Friendlies
Sweden U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Montenegro U17(away)5-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Greece U17(home)2-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Norway U17(home)2-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 23, 2026Poland U17(home)1-1Friendlies
Feb 20, 2026Estonia U17(away)2-0Friendlies

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Scotland U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sweden U17 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2025Sweden U17 2-0 Scotland U17UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
May 23, 2022Sweden U17 1-0 Scotland U17UEFA U17 Championship

Last archived meeting: Sweden U17 vs Scotland U17 on Oct 31, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Scotland U17 score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sweden U17 score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Scotland U171.71.746/1510/15
Sweden U172.71.377/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Scotland U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 3 matches) and Sweden U17 sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Sweden U173300939
2Scotland U173201536

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Scotland U17 vs Sweden U17?
The Footlab model makes Sweden U17 the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Scotland U17.
Where and when is Scotland U17 vs Sweden U17 played?
Scotland U17 vs Sweden U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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