Scotland vs Croatia: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 5Kick-off on November 15, 2024 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Hampden Park, Glasgow
Full time
What was the result of Scotland vs Croatia?
Scotland won 1-0 on November 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 86′J. McGinnScotland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scotland have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Croatia have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | Portugal(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Croatia(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Poland(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Hungary(home) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | Poland(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Poland(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Italy(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Scotland win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Croatia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Croatia 2-1 Scotland | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 22, 2021 | Croatia 3-1 Scotland | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Scotland score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Croatia | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy