Portugal vs Poland: result 5-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 5Kick-off on November 15, 2024 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
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What was the result of Portugal vs Poland?
Portugal won 5-1 on November 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 59′Rafael LeãoPortugal
- 72′Cristiano RonaldoPortugal (pen.)
- 80′Bruno FernandesPortugal
- 83′Pedro NetoPortugal
- 87′Cristiano RonaldoPortugal
- 88′D. MarczukPoland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Poland have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | Scotland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Poland(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Croatia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 5, 2024 | France(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | Croatia(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Portugal(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Croatia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Scotland(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 25, 2024 | France(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Portugal win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Poland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Poland 1-3 Portugal | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 20, 2018 | Portugal 1-1 Poland | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Poland 2-3 Portugal | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 30, 2016 | Poland 2-2 Portugal | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Poland | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy