Septemvri Dragoevo vs Chernomorets Balchik: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets Balchik the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Septemvri Dragoevo. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,487 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Dragoevo vs Chernomorets Balchik?
Chernomorets Balchik is a heavy favourite: 1,752 Elo points against 1,396, a 356-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Septemvri Dragoevo vs Chernomorets Balchik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Septemvri Dragoevo
Not enough data to predict the Septemvri Dragoevo lineup.
Chernomorets Balchik
4-3-3- AAdjeil Neves
- AA. Nakov
- CCassiano Bouzon
- VVladislav Danchev Georgiev
- NN. Fonkeu
- SS. Mitev
- YY. Radev
- NN. Yankov
- II. Minchev
- PP. Ivanov
- GG. Grigorov
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 06:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Dragoevo have 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Chernomorets Balchik have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fratria II(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dorostol(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Devnya 2005(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 7-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Devnya 2005(away) | 4-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Riltzi(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Dragoevo score 1.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 12; Chernomorets Balchik score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Dragoevo | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1 | 8/12 | 7/12 |
| Chernomorets Balchik | 2.5 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Dragoevo sit 10th in Third League - Northeast (14 points from 12 matches) and Chernomorets Balchik sit 3rd (29 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 29 |
| 10 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 14 |
A question about Septemvri Dragoevo vs Chernomorets Balchik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Dragoevo vs Chernomorets Balchik?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets Balchik the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Septemvri Dragoevo.
- Where and when is Septemvri Dragoevo vs Chernomorets Balchik played?
- Septemvri Dragoevo vs Chernomorets Balchik is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.