Fratria II vs Aksakovo: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Staro Oryahovo, Staro Oryahovo
The Footlab model makes Aksakovo the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Fratria II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria II vs Aksakovo?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Fratria II (1,280) and Aksakovo (1,377).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Aksakovo have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-6 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 0-7 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Dragoevo(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Fratria II(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Riltzi(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Fratria II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Aksakovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Aksakovo 3-1 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Fratria II 1-1 Aksakovo | Third League - Northeast |
| May 18, 2025 | Aksakovo 5-2 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Fratria II 0-3 Aksakovo | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Aksakovo vs Fratria II on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria II score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aksakovo score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria II | 1.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Aksakovo | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fratria II sit 15th in Third League - Northeast (0 points from 1 matches) and Aksakovo sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aksakovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Fratria II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria II vs Aksakovo?
- The Footlab model makes Aksakovo the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Fratria II.
- Where and when is Fratria II vs Aksakovo played?
- Fratria II vs Aksakovo is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Staro Oryahovo, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.