Septemvri Tervel vs Svetkavitsa 14: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Tervel
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Tervel the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Svetkavitsa 14. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Tervel vs Svetkavitsa 14?
Septemvri Tervel is a heavy favourite: 1,721 Elo points against 1,390, a 331-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Tervel have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Svetkavitsa 14 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Spartak Varna II(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 20, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Cherno more II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorostol(away) | 4-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Spartak Varna II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Cherno more II(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Fratria II(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Septemvri Tervel win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Svetkavitsa 14 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14 0-3 Septemvri Tervel | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Septemvri Tervel 5-1 Svetkavitsa 14 | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Svetkavitsa 14 vs Septemvri Tervel on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Tervel score 2.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Svetkavitsa 14 score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Tervel | 2.4 | 0.5 | 10 | 2/15 | 8/15 |
| Svetkavitsa 14 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Tervel sit 7th in Third League - Northeast (1 points from 1 matches) and Svetkavitsa 14 sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Tervel vs Svetkavitsa 14?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Tervel the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Svetkavitsa 14.
- Where and when is Septemvri Tervel vs Svetkavitsa 14 played?
- Septemvri Tervel vs Svetkavitsa 14 is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.