Seravezza vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, Pozzi Seravezza
The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seravezza vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
Seravezza starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seravezza have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Seravezza win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-0 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Seravezza 2-0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 11, 2025 | Seravezza 1-0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-2 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Seravezza 0-3 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0-1 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Seravezza on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seravezza | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Seravezza sit 5th in Serie D - Girone E (57 points from 34 matches) and Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano sit 11th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Seravezza | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 57 |
| 11 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seravezza vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
- The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
- Where and when is Seravezza vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano played?
- Seravezza vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.