Match

Lucchese vs Mezzolara: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca

LuccheseMezzolara

The Footlab AI model makes Lucchese the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lucchese vs Mezzolara?

Lucchese starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,505).

60%24%16%
Lucchese winDrawMezzolara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lucchese vs Mezzolara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lucchese

4-3-3
  1. 9S. Magnaghi
  2. 70E. Saporiti
  3. 10A. Selvini
  1. 21E. Visconti
  2. 27R. Gucher
  3. 96G. Galli
  1. 5S. Benedetti
  2. 29E. Antoni
  3. 30A. Gemignani
  4. 3N. Rizzo
  1. 59R. Melgrati

Mezzolara

Not enough data to predict the Mezzolara lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:14 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mezzolara have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lucchese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Ternana(home)2-2Serie D - Girone E
Oct 7, 2026Seravezza(away)1-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Grassina(away)6-3Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Robur Siena(home)3-2Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Rondinella(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Mezzolara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola(home)2-2Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Grassina(home)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 16, 2026Ternana(home)2-1Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Lucchese score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mezzolara score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lucchese2.11.8410/1511/15
Mezzolara0.91.547/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lucchese sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone E (13 points from 6 matches) and Mezzolara sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Lucchese6411161113
13Mezzolara6141467

A question about Lucchese vs Mezzolara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lucchese vs Mezzolara?
The Footlab AI model makes Lucchese the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Mezzolara.
Where and when is Lucchese vs Mezzolara played?
Lucchese vs Mezzolara is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Porta Elisa, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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