Serbia U17 vs Portugal U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Serbia U17 the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Portugal U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Serbia U17 vs Portugal U17?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Serbia U17 (1,692) and Portugal U17 (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Serbia U17 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Portugal U17 have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Romania U17(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Romania U17(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Switzerland U17(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 3-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Cyprus U17(home) | 3-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Iceland U17(home) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Romania U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Italy U17(away) | 2-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Germany U17(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Finland U17(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Serbia U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Portugal U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | Serbia U17 1-3 Portugal U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Serbia U17 2-3 Portugal U17 | UEFA U17 Championship |
Last archived meeting: Serbia U17 vs Portugal U17 on Mar 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Serbia U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portugal U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serbia U17 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Portugal U17 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Serbia U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 3 matches) and Portugal U17 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Serbia U17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Serbia U17 vs Portugal U17?
- The Footlab model makes Serbia U17 the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Portugal U17.
- Where and when is Serbia U17 vs Portugal U17 played?
- Serbia U17 vs Portugal U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
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