Sestao River vs Bergantiños: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao
The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bergantiños. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestao River wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sestao River vs Bergantiños?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Sestao River (2,001) and Bergantiños (1,948).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sestao River vs Bergantiños
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sestao River
4-4-2- 8Ander Laka
- 17A. Bengoetxea
- 16Josemi Castañeda
- 6Eneko Delgado
- 20Adri Carrión
- 11G. Zorrilla
- 22Markel Etxeberría
- 5Andoni Ugarte
- 3Gorri
- 15G. Argente
- 26Nistal Recalde Pablo
Bergantiños
Not enough data to predict the Bergantiños lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestao River have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Bergantiños have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 4-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sestao River score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bergantiños score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sestao River | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Bergantiños | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sestao River sit 1st in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (22 points from 9 matches) and Bergantiños sit 3rd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestao River | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 22 |
| 3 | Bergantiños | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
A question about Sestao River vs Bergantiños?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sestao River vs Bergantiños?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bergantiños.
- Where and when is Sestao River vs Bergantiños played?
- Sestao River vs Bergantiños is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Llanas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.