Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Ourense CF: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Malecón, Torrelavega
The Footlab AI model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gimnástica Torrelavega wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Ourense CF?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,933) and Ourense CF (1,905).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Ourense CF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Not enough data to predict the Gimnástica Torrelavega lineup.
Ourense CF
Not enough data to predict the Ourense CF lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Torrelavega have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ourense CF have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Gimnástica Torrelavega wins, 0 draws, 1 Ourense CF win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 2-1 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Ourense CF 2-1 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 2-1 Ourense CF | Copa Federacion |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-0 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Ourense CF 1-2 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Ourense CF on Mar 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Torrelavega score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ourense CF | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnástica Torrelavega sit 16th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (5 points from 6 matches) and Ourense CF sit 9th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ourense CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Ourense CF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Ourense CF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ourense CF.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Ourense CF played?
- Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Ourense CF is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Malecón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.