Match

Arosa vs Racing Santander II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa

ArosaRacing Santander II

The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Racing Santander II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arosa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,905 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arosa vs Racing Santander II?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Arosa (1,884) and Racing Santander II (1,894).

41%27%32%
Arosa winDrawRacing Santander II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arosa vs Racing Santander II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arosa

Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.

Racing Santander II

Not enough data to predict the Racing Santander II lineup.

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:28 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Racing Santander II have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arosa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Llanera(home)4-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Bergantiños(home)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Ourense CF(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Deportivo Alavés II(home)2-5Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Basconia(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Racing Santander II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Basconia(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Real Oviedo II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Eibar II(home)1-5Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Llanera(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Amorebieta(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Arosa score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander II score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arosa1.61.549/158/15
Racing Santander II1.91.9112/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arosa sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (4 points from 6 matches) and Racing Santander II sit 18th (4 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Arosa60428154
18Racing Santander II71157144

A question about Arosa vs Racing Santander II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Racing Santander II?
The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Racing Santander II.
Where and when is Arosa vs Racing Santander II played?
Arosa vs Racing Santander II is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arosa and Racing Santander II

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