Match

Sestao River vs Eibar II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao

Sestao RiverEibar II

The Footlab model makes Sestao River the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Eibar II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sestao River vs Eibar II?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Sestao River (1,892) and Eibar II (1,888).

Sestao River win43 %
Draw29 %
Eibar II win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestao River have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Eibar II have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sestao River
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Athletic Club II(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Athletic Club(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Utebo(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Amorebieta(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Eibar II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Náxara(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Ejea(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Ebro(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Utebo(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sestao River win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Eibar II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Eibar II 2-1 Sestao RiverSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 22, 2025Sestao River 1-0 Eibar IISegunda División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Eibar II vs Sestao River on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sestao River score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sestao River1.01.239/155/15
Eibar II1.51.439/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sestao River vs Eibar II?
The Footlab model makes Sestao River the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Eibar II.
Where and when is Sestao River vs Eibar II played?
Sestao River vs Eibar II is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Llanas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sestao River and Eibar II

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