Santomera vs Mazarrón FC: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Mazarrón FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santomera wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?
On Elo ratings, Santomera has 1,785 points and Mazarrón FC 1,744.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santomera vs Mazarrón FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Mazarrón FC
4-3-3- CC. Ventura
- KKevin Prince Bassamba Wolosso
- SSalvador Manuel Ardil Navarro
- JJulian David Taborda Gaviria
- CCascales
- SSamuel Adolfo Pérez Mateo
- MMatteo Carlens Cantave
- JJosé Manuel Martínez Fonta
- GG. Argüello
- AAarón David Fothergill
- RRafael Rubio Díaz
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 02:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Mazarrón FC have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Algar(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Santomera wins, 0 draws, 2 Mazarrón FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Mazarrón FC 5-0 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Santomera 0-1 Mazarrón FC | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Mazarrón FC vs Santomera on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mazarrón FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Mazarrón FC | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santomera sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (19 points from 7 matches) and Mazarrón FC sit 18th (1 point from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 19 |
| 18 | Mazarrón FC | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 1 |
A question about Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Mazarrón FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Mazarrón FC.
- Where and when is Santomera vs Mazarrón FC played?
- Santomera vs Mazarrón FC is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026Los GarresvsEl Palmar
- Nov 8, 2026SFC MinervavsSanta Cruz
- Nov 8, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsBala Azul
- Nov 8, 2026Cartagena LU IIvsSan Javier
- Nov 8, 2026Unión MolinensevsAtlético Pulpileño
- Nov 8, 2026AlgarvsAlcantarilla
- Nov 8, 2026Balsicas AtléticovsOlímpico Totana
- Nov 8, 2026Bullas DeportivovsÁguilas II