Where and when is Algar vs Alcantarilla played?

Algar vs Alcantarilla is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Algar vs Alcantarilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar

Algar

Alcantarilla

The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algar vs Alcantarilla?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Algar (1,594) and Alcantarilla (1,591).

Algar win48 %

Draw28 %

Alcantarilla win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Alcantarilla have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2024	Plus Ultra(home)	4-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024	Bullense(away)	0-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024	Alcantarilla(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024	Cieza(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Alcantarilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 4, 2025	Águilas II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2025	Lorca Deportiva(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 20, 2025	Santomera(home)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 13, 2025	UCAM Murcia II(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Algar win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Alcantarilla win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 1, 2024	Algar 0-2 Alcantarilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 7, 2024	Alcantarilla 2-0 Algar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Algar vs Alcantarilla on May 1, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alcantarilla score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Algar	1.1	2.3	2	8/15	10/15
Alcantarilla	0.5	1.6	6	4/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algar vs Alcantarilla?: The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Alcantarilla.
Where and when is Algar vs Alcantarilla played?: Algar vs Alcantarilla is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.