Shaanxi Union vs Suzhou Dongwu: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Weinan Sports Center Stadium, Weinan
The Footlab model makes Shaanxi Union the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Suzhou Dongwu. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shaanxi Union vs Suzhou Dongwu?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Shaanxi Union (1,413) and Suzhou Dongwu (1,345).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shaanxi Union have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Suzhou Dongwu have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shenzhen Juniors(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen(away) | 3-3 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Meizhou Kejia(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dalian Huayi(away) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Shaanxi Union win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Suzhou Dongwu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu 0-3 Shaanxi Union | League One |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Shaanxi Union 1-3 Suzhou Dongwu | League One |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Suzhou Dongwu 0-0 Shaanxi Union | League One |
Last archived meeting: Suzhou Dongwu vs Shaanxi Union on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shaanxi Union score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Suzhou Dongwu score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaanxi Union | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Suzhou Dongwu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shaanxi Union sit 6th in League One (26 points from 19 matches) and Suzhou Dongwu sit 14th (16 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shaanxi Union | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 26 |
| 14 | Suzhou Dongwu | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shaanxi Union vs Suzhou Dongwu?
- The Footlab model makes Shaanxi Union the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Suzhou Dongwu.
- Where and when is Shaanxi Union vs Suzhou Dongwu played?
- Shaanxi Union vs Suzhou Dongwu is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Weinan Sports Center Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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