Match

Meizhou Kejia vs Hebei Kungfu: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, Wuhua

Meizhou KejiaHebei Kungfu

The Footlab model makes Hebei Kungfu the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Meizhou Kejia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Meizhou Kejia vs Hebei Kungfu?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Meizhou Kejia (1,306) and Hebei Kungfu (1,381).

Meizhou Kejia win29 %
Draw28 %
Hebei Kungfu win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Meizhou Kejia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hebei Kungfu have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Meizhou Kejia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Guangzhou E-Power(home)1-5League One
Aug 15, 2026Guangxi Hengchen(away)0-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Dongguan United(home)3-2League One
Aug 2, 2026Suzhou Dongwu(away)0-1League One
Jul 26, 2026Yanbian Longding(away)1-2League One
Hebei Kungfu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(away)2-1League One
Aug 16, 2026Dongguan United(away)2-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Shaanxi Union(home)2-1League One
Aug 2, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)2-2League One
Jul 25, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(home)1-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Meizhou Kejia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hebei Kungfu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Hebei Kungfu 0-1 Meizhou KejiaLeague One
Nov 16, 2022Hebei Kungfu 2-6 Meizhou KejiaFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Hebei Kungfu vs Meizhou Kejia on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Meizhou Kejia score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hebei Kungfu score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Meizhou Kejia1.12.029/159/15
Hebei Kungfu0.91.138/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Meizhou Kejia sit 15th in League One (11 points from 20 matches) and Hebei Kungfu sit 13th (21 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Hebei Kungfu20569162421
15Meizhou Kejia206212204011

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Meizhou Kejia vs Hebei Kungfu?
The Footlab model makes Hebei Kungfu the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Meizhou Kejia.
Where and when is Meizhou Kejia vs Hebei Kungfu played?
Meizhou Kejia vs Hebei Kungfu is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Meizhou Kejia and Hebei Kungfu

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