Meizhou Kejia vs Hebei Kungfu: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, Wuhua
The Footlab model makes Hebei Kungfu the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Meizhou Kejia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Meizhou Kejia vs Hebei Kungfu?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Meizhou Kejia (1,306) and Hebei Kungfu (1,381).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Meizhou Kejia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hebei Kungfu have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dongguan United(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dongguan United(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Changchun Yatai(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun(home) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Meizhou Kejia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hebei Kungfu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu 0-1 Meizhou Kejia | League One |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Hebei Kungfu 2-6 Meizhou Kejia | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hebei Kungfu vs Meizhou Kejia on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Meizhou Kejia score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hebei Kungfu score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meizhou Kejia | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hebei Kungfu | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Meizhou Kejia sit 15th in League One (11 points from 20 matches) and Hebei Kungfu sit 13th (21 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hebei Kungfu | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 40 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Meizhou Kejia vs Hebei Kungfu?
- The Footlab model makes Hebei Kungfu the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Meizhou Kejia.
- Where and when is Meizhou Kejia vs Hebei Kungfu played?
- Meizhou Kejia vs Hebei Kungfu is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026Yanbian LongdingvsGuangzhou E-Power
- Sep 18, 2026Dalian HuayivsNingbo Professional
- Sep 18, 2026Nantong ZhiyunvsGuangxi Hengchen
- Sep 19, 2026Shenzhen JuniorsvsChangchun Yatai
- Sep 19, 2026Shaanxi UnionvsSuzhou Dongwu
- Sep 19, 2026Heilongjiang Lava SpringvsDongguan United
- Sep 19, 2026Nanjing CityvsWuxi Wugou