Match

Nanjing City vs Wuxi Wugou: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)

Nanjing CityWuxi Wugou

The Footlab model makes Wuxi Wugou the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Nanjing City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nanjing City vs Wuxi Wugou?

Wuxi Wugou starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,432 vs 1,316).

Nanjing City win32 %
Draw27 %
Wuxi Wugou win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nanjing City have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Wuxi Wugou have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nanjing City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(away)1-3League One
Aug 16, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)1-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(home)1-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Yanbian Longding(away)1-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)1-2League One
Wuxi Wugou
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dalian Huayi(away)1-2League One
Aug 15, 2026Guangzhou E-Power(home)0-3League One
Aug 2, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(away)0-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Dongguan United(away)2-0League One
Jul 17, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)5-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Nanjing City win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Wuxi Wugou win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Wuxi Wugou 1-1 Nanjing CityLeague One
Sep 15, 2024Nanjing City 1-1 Wuxi WugouLeague One
Apr 28, 2024Wuxi Wugou 1-1 Nanjing CityLeague One
Aug 27, 2023Wuxi Wugou 1-1 Nanjing CityLeague One
May 13, 2023Nanjing City 5-0 Wuxi WugouLeague One

Last archived meeting: Wuxi Wugou vs Nanjing City on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nanjing City score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Wuxi Wugou score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nanjing City1.01.239/155/15
Wuxi Wugou1.51.339/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nanjing City sit 12th in League One (21 points from 20 matches) and Wuxi Wugou sit 8th (23 points from 18 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Wuxi Wugou18657292323
12Nanjing City20569192421

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nanjing City vs Wuxi Wugou?
The Footlab model makes Wuxi Wugou the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Nanjing City.
Where and when is Nanjing City vs Wuxi Wugou played?
Nanjing City vs Wuxi Wugou is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nanjing City and Wuxi Wugou

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