Match

Shenzhen Juniors vs Changchun Yatai: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)

Shenzhen JuniorsChangchun Yatai

The Footlab model makes Shenzhen Juniors the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Changchun Yatai. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shenzhen Juniors vs Changchun Yatai?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Shenzhen Juniors (1,395) and Changchun Yatai (1,382).

Shenzhen Juniors win47 %
Draw24 %
Changchun Yatai win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shenzhen Juniors have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Changchun Yatai have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shenzhen Juniors
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nanjing City(home)3-1League One
Aug 16, 2026Ningbo Professional(home)0-0League One
Aug 9, 2026Yanbian Longding(away)1-0League One
Aug 2, 2026Wuxi Wugou(home)1-0League One
Jul 25, 2026Shaanxi Union(away)0-3League One
Changchun Yatai
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dongguan United(home)6-0League One
Aug 14, 2026Shaanxi Union(away)1-2League One
Aug 8, 2026Suzhou Dongwu(away)1-2League One
Aug 2, 2026Hebei Kungfu(home)2-2League One
Jul 25, 2026Nanjing City(home)2-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Shenzhen Juniors win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Changchun Yatai win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Changchun Yatai 0-4 Shenzhen JuniorsLeague One

Last archived meeting: Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Shenzhen Juniors score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Changchun Yatai score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Shenzhen Juniors1.41.195/156/15
Changchun Yatai1.82.0113/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shenzhen Juniors sit 2nd in League One (36 points from 20 matches) and Changchun Yatai sit 9th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Shenzhen Juniors201064312236
9Changchun Yatai19829333422

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shenzhen Juniors vs Changchun Yatai?
The Footlab model makes Shenzhen Juniors the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Changchun Yatai.
Where and when is Shenzhen Juniors vs Changchun Yatai played?
Shenzhen Juniors vs Changchun Yatai is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Shenzhen Juniors and Changchun Yatai

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