Sheffield Wednesday vs Salford City: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 1Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Hillsborough, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Salford City?
Salford City starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Wednesday have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Salford City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Wednesday score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Salford City score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Salford City | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Wednesday vs Salford City?
- The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Sheffield Wednesday vs Salford City played?
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Salford City is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Hillsborough, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.