Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl'
The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Shinnik Yaroslavl. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ural wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Shinnik Yaroslavl (1,839) and Ural (1,879).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4-4-2- 15D. Samoylov
- 10A. Gongapshev
- 24I. Azyavin
- 50A. Golubev
- 54I. Shmakov
- 64O. Lanin
- 62V. Karpov
- 17E. Valiakhmetov
- 23N. Chistyakov
- 27A. Cherny
- 66N. Yanovich
Ural
4-2-3-1- 97I. Ishkov
- 6F. Sungatulin
- 17V. Karapuzov
- 22Léo Cordeiro
- 99B. Fourrier
- 59E. Kharin
- 2S. Begić
- 16Ítalo
- 15D. Tikhiy
- 24A. Korotkov
- 57A. Selikhov
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shinnik Yaroslavl have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Ural have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Veles(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl win, 1 draw, 4 Ural wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Ural | First League |
| May 4, 2026 | Ural 0-1 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-1 Ural | First League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-2 Ural | First League |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Ural 2-1 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Jun 24, 2020 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 0-2 Ural | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural on Sep 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shinnik Yaroslavl score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ural score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ural | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 8th in First League (20 points from 14 matches) and Ural sit 6th (25 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
A question about Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
- Where and when is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural played?
- Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Shinnik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.