Tranmere vs Rochdale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Prenton Park, Birkenhead, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Tranmere. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tranmere vs Rochdale?
Rochdale starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,734).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tranmere vs Rochdale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tranmere
4-2-3-1- 9J. Ironside
- 10T. Ince
- 6W. Vaulks
- 7Charlie Jay Whitaker
- 11T. Conlon
- 17Z. Okoro
- 2J. Senior
- 3J. Slater
- 5N. Smith
- 16B. Faulkner
- 12H. Male
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 17B. Adeeko
- 8H. Gilmour
- 14E. Francis
- 21Kane Taylor
- 45G. Middleton
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 2C. Tasker
- 44A. Flint
- 26S. Sherring
- 1Nils Ramming
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tranmere have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tranmere win, 3 draws, 2 Rochdale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tranmere 2-2 Rochdale | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2023 | Tranmere 0-2 Rochdale | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Rochdale 2-2 Tranmere | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Tranmere 1-1 Rochdale | League Two |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Tranmere 2-0 Rochdale | League Two |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Rochdale 1-0 Tranmere | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Tranmere score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tranmere sit 12th in League Two (11 points from 9 matches) and Rochdale sit 11th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Tranmere vs Rochdale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tranmere vs Rochdale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Tranmere.
- Where and when is Tranmere vs Rochdale played?
- Tranmere vs Rochdale is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Prenton Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.