Wisła Kraków II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion KS Dalin, Myślenice
The Footlab model makes Wisła Kraków II the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisła Kraków II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Wisła Kraków II (1,799) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Kraków II have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Wisła Kraków II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-2 Wisła Kraków II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Wisła Kraków II 2-2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-0 Wisła Kraków II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Wisła Kraków II 1-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisła Kraków II on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wisła Kraków II score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Kraków II | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisła Kraków II sit 4th in III Liga - Group 4 (10 points from 5 matches) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wisła Kraków II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 16 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisła Kraków II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
- The Footlab model makes Wisła Kraków II the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
- Where and when is Wisła Kraków II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg played?
- Wisła Kraków II vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion KS Dalin, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Nov 7, 2026KSZO 1929vsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Nov 7, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsWisłoka Dębica
- Nov 7, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsSokół Kolb.
- Nov 7, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsKorona Kielce II
- Nov 7, 2026NaprzódvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Nov 7, 2026Moravia MorawicavsStar Starachowice
- Nov 7, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsJarosław