Match

Young Africans vs Azam: prediction and stats

Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam

Young AfricansAzam

The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Azam. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Young Africans vs Azam?

Young Africans starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,818).

Young Africans win66 %
Draw23 %
Azam win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Africans have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Azam have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Young Africans
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026JKT Tanzania(home)4-0Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 20, 2026Coastal Union(home)4-1Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 15, 2026Namungo(away)3-1Ligi kuu Bara
Jun 30, 2026JKT Tanzania(away)3-0Ligi kuu Bara
Jun 27, 2026Tabora United(home)3-0Ligi kuu Bara
Azam
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pamba Jiji(home)2-1Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 20, 2026Tabora United(home)2-1Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 15, 2026Polisi Tanzania(away)1-1Ligi kuu Bara
Jun 30, 2026Dodoma Jiji(home)2-0Ligi kuu Bara
Jun 27, 2026Coastal Union(away)2-0Ligi kuu Bara

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Young Africans win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Azam win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 24, 2026Young Africans 3-0 AzamLigi kuu Bara
Mar 15, 2026Azam 0-0 Young AfricansLigi kuu Bara
Apr 10, 2025Azam 1-2 Young AfricansLigi kuu Bara
Nov 2, 2024Young Africans 0-1 AzamLigi kuu Bara
Mar 17, 2024Azam 2-1 Young AfricansLigi kuu Bara
Oct 23, 2023Young Africans 3-2 AzamLigi kuu Bara

Last archived meeting: Young Africans vs Azam on Jun 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Azam score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Young Africans2.90.5105/1512/15
Azam1.90.7104/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Young Africans sit 1st in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 3 matches) and Azam sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Young Africans33001129
3Azam3210537

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Young Africans vs Azam?
The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Azam.
Where and when is Young Africans vs Azam played?
Young Africans vs Azam is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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