Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Slavia Sofia. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Ludogorets starts as the favourite with a 266-point Elo edge (1,968 vs 1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Slavia Sofia
4-2-3-1- 77E. Stoev
- 95V. Miletić
- 73I. Minchev
- 10V. Nikolov
- 11M. Dosso
- 27Umaro Baldé
- 87D. Ferraresso
- 4N. Savić
- 71K. Stoyanov
- 5David Malembana
- 99I. Andonov
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1- 12Rwan Cruz
- 23Deroy Duarte
- 14P. Stanić
- 6I. Zhelizko
- 18I. Chochev
- 17Son
- 42S. Shishkov
- 15E. Kurtulus
- 2J. Andersson
- 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
- 39H. Bonmann
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Sofia have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ludogorets have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Slavia Sofia win, 2 draws, 3 Ludogorets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ludogorets 1-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Ludogorets 1-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 0-3 Ludogorets | First League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Ludogorets 2-0 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Slavia Sofia 0-1 Ludogorets | First League |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Ludogorets 2-3 Slavia Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Sofia score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ludogorets | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Sofia sit 8th in First League (11 points from 11 matches) and Ludogorets sit 3rd (26 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 26 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
A question about Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Slavia Sofia.
- Where and when is Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets played?
- Slavia Sofia vs Ludogorets is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.