Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Varna
The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Spartak Varna. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia starts as the favourite with a 299-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1- 11Boubacar Hanne
- 19S. Major
- 6José Ricardo Gomes Sousa
- 17T. Marinov
- 82Tomás Silva
- 7Buá
- 76David Valverde
- 44A. Granchov
- 4B. Ivanov
- 45J. Tshitoku
- 23P. Iliev
Levski Sofia
4-3-3- 7Reinaldo
- 17Everton Bala
- 3Maicon
- 35Serginho
- 18G. Trdin
- 19E. El Moubarik
- 4C. Makoun
- 71O. Kamdem
- 20Álex Centelles
- 21Aldair
- 1O. Vladimirov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Varna have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Levski Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-4 | Super Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Spartak Varna wins, 2 draws, 4 Levski Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia 6-0 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Spartak Varna 1-3 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Levski Sofia 2-1 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Levski Sofia 2-0 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Spartak Varna 0-0 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Spartak Varna 2-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Varna score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Levski Sofia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Varna sit 7th in First League (13 points from 11 matches) and Levski Sofia sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
A question about Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Spartak Varna.
- Where and when is Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia played?
- Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.