Dunav Ruse vs Cherno More Varna: prediction and stats
First LeagueMatchday 19Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Rousse
The Footlab AI model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Cherno More Varna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dunav Ruse wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,511 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Cherno More Varna?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Dunav Ruse (1,731) and Cherno More Varna (1,766).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dunav Ruse vs Cherno More Varna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dunav Ruse
4-2-3-1- 9Álex Valiño
- 14R. Apostolov
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-Louis
- 10K. Boychev
- 17N. Fonkeu
- 44V. Vidaković
- 88D. Todorov
- 39Andre Alves
- 2M. Dilchovski
- 3B. Chorbadzhiyski
- 33G. Kitanov
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1- 10Celso Sidney
- 71V. Panayotov
- 24David Teles
- 29B. Beyhan
- 99I. Bounaas
- 11M. Achi
- 37V. Kerchev
- 50E. Tombak
- 5L. Squadrone
- 3Z. Atanasov
- 81K. Tomov
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 09:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunav Ruse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cherno More Varna have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 0-1 | Pro Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marek(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dunav Ruse win, 1 draw, 4 Cherno More Varna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cherno More Varna 3-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Cherno More Varna 2-1 Dunav Ruse | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Cherno More Varna 4-0 Dunav Ruse | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Cherno More Varna 0-0 Dunav Ruse | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 5, 2023 | Dunav Ruse 2-1 Cherno More Varna | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Cherno More Varna 2-1 Dunav Ruse | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunav Ruse score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cherno More Varna score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunav Ruse | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Cherno More Varna | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunav Ruse sit 10th in First League (12 points from 14 matches) and Cherno More Varna sit 9th (13 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cherno More Varna | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 13 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 12 |
A question about Dunav Ruse vs Cherno More Varna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunav Ruse vs Cherno More Varna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Cherno More Varna.
- Where and when is Dunav Ruse vs Cherno More Varna played?
- Dunav Ruse vs Cherno More Varna is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.