Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
The Footlab model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Botev Vratsa. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Botev Plovdiv (1,800) and Botev Vratsa (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Plovdiv have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Botev Vratsa have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Botev Plovdiv win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Botev Vratsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 1-0 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv 1-3 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Botev Vratsa 1-2 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Botev Plovdiv 3-1 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Botev Vratsa 1-3 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Botev Plovdiv 2-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
Last archived meeting: Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Vratsa score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Botev Vratsa | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Plovdiv sit 6th in First League (7 points from 6 matches) and Botev Vratsa sit 11th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Botev Vratsa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa?
- The Footlab model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Botev Vratsa.
- Where and when is Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa played?
- Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.