Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Spartak Varna. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,774 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna?
Ludogorets starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (1,993 vs 1,705).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1- 12Rwan Cruz
- 23Deroy Duarte
- 6I. Zhelizko
- 14P. Stanić
- 20A. Camara
- 18I. Chochev
- 42S. Shishkov
- 2J. Andersson
- 15E. Kurtulus
- 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
- 39H. Bonmann
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1- 11Boubacar Hanne
- 19S. Major
- 17T. Marinov
- 6José Ricardo Gomes Sousa
- 82Tomás Silva
- 7Buá
- 44A. Granchov
- 5D. Krastev
- 29Z. Tindano
- 76David Valverde
- 23P. Iliev
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 02:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Spartak Varna have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-6 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ludogorets wins, 2 draws, 0 Spartak Varna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Spartak Varna 1-1 Ludogorets | First League |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Spartak Varna 1-5 Ludogorets | First League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ludogorets 1-1 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Ludogorets 2-1 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Spartak Varna 1-3 Ludogorets | First League |
| Apr 4, 2023 | Ludogorets 2-1 Spartak Varna | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Varna score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Spartak Varna | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets sit 3rd in First League (29 points from 12 matches) and Spartak Varna sit 8th (13 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 29 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 13 |
A question about Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Spartak Varna.
- Where and when is Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna played?
- Ludogorets vs Spartak Varna is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Huvepharma Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.