Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Septemvri Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Slavia Sofia (1,745) and Septemvri Sofia (1,684).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Sofia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Septemvri Sofia have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Slavia Sofia win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Septemvri Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia 2-3 Slavia Sofia | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Slavia Sofia 2-1 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia 1-2 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| May 6, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia 3-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 2-3 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia vs Slavia Sofia on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Sofia score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Sofia sit 9th in First League (6 points from 5 matches) and Septemvri Sofia sit 8th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Septemvri Sofia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Septemvri Sofia.
- Where and when is Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia played?
- Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.