Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Botev Plovdiv. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (2,076 vs 1,830).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Plovdiv have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Levski Sofia have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 3-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Botev Plovdiv win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Levski Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia 3-0 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Levski Sofia 1-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Levski Sofia 1-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Botev Plovdiv 1-3 Levski Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 2.3 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Levski Sofia | 2.3 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Plovdiv sit 7th in First League (7 points from 5 matches) and Levski Sofia sit 4th (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Botev Plovdiv.
- Where and when is Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia played?
- Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.